Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.001052 0.001196 0.001341 0.001496 0.001657 0.001820 0.001997
2025-11-30 0.000879 0.001090 0.001309 0.001550 0.001806 0.002069 0.002358
2025-12-07 0.000697 0.000956 0.001231 0.001542 0.001879 0.002229 0.002619
2025-12-14 0.000531 0.000819 0.001138 0.001507 0.001914 0.002343 0.002827
2025-12-21 0.000433 0.000749 0.001110 0.001537 0.002014 0.002523 0.003100
2025-12-28 0.000318 0.000645 0.001035 0.001506 0.002042 0.002620 0.003280
2026-01-04 0.000240 0.000576 0.000994 0.001510 0.002105 0.002752 0.003495
2026-01-11 0.000167 0.000503 0.000942 0.001496 0.002143 0.002852 0.003673
2026-01-18 0.000110 0.000440 0.000896 0.001485 0.002182 0.002952 0.003847
2026-01-25 0.000049 0.000351 0.000810 0.001421 0.002155 0.002974 0.003933
2026-02-01 0.000016 0.000293 0.000759 0.001395 0.002171 0.003043 0.004068
2026-02-08 0.000002 0.000256 0.000732 0.001399 0.002219 0.003146 0.004240
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000205 0.000692 0.001399 0.002280 0.003286 0.004478
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000183 0.000695 0.001455 0.002412 0.003508 0.004812
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000137 0.000652 0.001449 0.002468 0.003643 0.005049
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000088 0.000592 0.001416 0.002489 0.003737 0.005238
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000066 0.000579 0.001446 0.002586 0.003919 0.005526
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000033 0.000527 0.001417 0.002607 0.004011 0.005710
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000016 0.000500 0.001421 0.002670 0.004149 0.005946
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000002 0.000462 0.001408 0.002707 0.004256 0.006145
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000429 0.001397 0.002747 0.004366 0.006346
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000365 0.001334 0.002717 0.004390 0.006446
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000327 0.001310 0.002734 0.004469 0.006608